NYC, Philly: Storm may cause burst of heavy snow

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New York City and Philadelphia will be on the edge of a winter storm's heavy snow versus melting snow and little accumulation from Monday night to Tuesday with a wide range of travel conditions.

By Alex Sosnowski, AccuWeather senior meteorologist

Millions from the Mississippi and Ohio valleys to southern New England are bracing for a storm with the potential for heavy snow that AccuWeather meteorologists have been tracking for at least two weeks. In much of the mid-Atlantic, the storm will begin as rain Monday evening, but a change to snow is likely by Tuesday as colder air invades the tail end of the storm.

Within the zone from New York City to Philadelphia, roads may just be wet in some neighborhoods, while other areas may have to be plowed.

There is the potential for the snow to come down at the rate of 1-3 inches per hour Tuesday morning and midday from New York City to Philadelphia. How quickly the temperature drops Tuesday morning, along with the exact track and intensity of a storm near the coast, will determine how heavy the snow will be, how long it will last and how quickly road conditions deteriorate.

"How much snow accumulates in the heart of New York City and Philadelphia will be greatly affected by the rate of snow," AccuWeather Chief On-Air Meteorologist Bernie Rayno said, adding, "If it snows lightly, the air will not cool so fast, and the snow will melt as it falls on most paved surfaces. However, if it snows at a heavy rate, it can overcome the warm ground, and conditions will transition rapidly from wet to slushy to snow-covered in an hour or two."

New York City Public Schools have announced that Tuesday will be a virtual learning day, according to ABC7.

The latest snowfall forecast for New York City, Philadelphia

At this time, Manhattan is projected to pick up 1-3 inches of snow, and Philadelphia can expect an inch or so. Snow may increase substantially on the northern and western fringes of the metro areas to the more distant northern and western suburbs. From 6 to 10 inches will fall just north and west of New York City, with 1-3 inches in store for much of Bucks and Montgomery counties in Pennsylvania, just northwest of Philadelphia. Heavier snow may also fall outside of Manhattan to the east, on Long Island.

"Should this storm shift its track farther to the south and east, it may not be able to tap into the colder air sitting just to the north. In this case, it may not snow hard enough to accumulate or only accumulate a smaller amount than portrayed and not only in the zone from New York City to Philadelphia, as well as areas farther to the north in the central Appalachians and southern New England," Rayno explained.

Airline passengers should expect flight delays due to deicing operations. Should the snowstorm develop to its full potential, flight cancellations will mount. In areas where several inches of snow falls and melts during the day, runoff may freeze each night, leaving dangerous icy patches for motorists and pedestrians.

Colder air will filter across the Northeast in the wake of the early-week storm. Typical highs this time of the year are within a few degrees of 40 F with overnight lows ranging from the upper 20s to the lower 30s. The colder, more seasonable conditions will allow some who enjoy winter sports, such as skiing, to hit the slopes through the end of the month.


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Rain benefits

Rain provides numerous benefits to the environment, agriculture, and overall well-being of ecosystems and communities. Here are some of the key benefits of rain:

Water Supply:

Rainfall replenishes freshwater sources such as rivers, lakes, and groundwater reservoirs, ensuring a sustainable supply of water for drinking, agriculture, industry, and ecosystems.


Agriculture and Crop Growth:

Rainwater is essential for irrigating crops and sustaining agricultural productivity. Adequate rainfall promotes healthy plant growth, supports crop yields, and helps prevent drought-related losses.


Ecosystem Health:

Rainfall maintains the health and vitality of terrestrial and aquatic ecosystems by supporting diverse habitats, sustaining plant and animal life, and regulating ecosystem processes such as nutrient cycling and soil moisture.


Drought Relief:

Rainfall alleviates drought conditions by replenishing soil moisture, restoring water levels in rivers and reservoirs, and reducing the risk of water shortages for both human and natural systems.


Temperature Regulation:

Rainfall helps regulate temperatures by cooling the air and surface temperatures through evaporation and cloud cover, mitigating the effects of heat waves and contributing to a more comfortable climate.


Air Quality Improvement:

Rainfall helps cleanse the atmosphere by removing pollutants, dust, and particulate matter from the air, leading to improved air quality and reduced respiratory health risks for humans and wildlife.


Hydroelectric Power Generation:

Rainfall contributes to the replenishment of water reservoirs used for hydroelectric power generation, a renewable energy source that reduces reliance on fossil fuels and mitigates greenhouse gas emissions.


Recharge of Aquifers:

Rainwater infiltrates the soil and replenishes underground aquifers, which serve as vital sources of freshwater for drinking, irrigation, and industrial purposes.


Supports Biodiversity:

Rainfall sustains diverse ecosystems and habitats, providing essential resources and habitat for a wide range of plant and animal species. It promotes biodiversity and helps preserve ecosystems' resilience to environmental changes.


Cultural and Recreational Benefits:

Rainfall plays a significant role in cultural practices, ceremonies, and recreational activities such as gardening, hiking, and outdoor sports. It fosters a deeper connection to nature and enhances quality of life for communities worldwide.


While rain brings numerous benefits, it's important to note that excessive or prolonged rainfall can also lead to flooding, erosion, landslides, and other environmental hazards. Effective water management practices, including flood control measures and sustainable land use planning, are essential for maximizing the benefits of rainfall while minimizing its potential negative impacts.